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- <text>
- <title>
- Separatism: Sore Winners In Slovakia
- </title>
- <article>
- <hdr>
- World Press Review, October 1992
- Separatism: Sore Winners in Slovakia
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p>By Yehuda Lahav. From the independent "Ha'areta" of Tel Aviv.
- </p>
- <p> On the morning after the June 5 elections, Slovakia woke up
- with a strong feeling of disgust, like someone waking up with
- clear knowledge that he had irreparably smashed something but
- not knowing exactly what. There were no victory celebrations or
- parades that day after the elections, in either the Czech lands
- or Slovakia. A feeling of disgust was perfectly justified. As a
- result of the elections, Czechoslovakia turned into a country
- that can no longer be governed.
- </p>
- <p> Vladimir Meciar, the leader of the Movement for a Democratic
- Slovakia, won the election. But Meciar's victory leaves him no
- opening for retreat. Whether he likes it or not, and despite
- all the many expected difficulties, he will march Slovakia to
- independence. Were his movements a bit weaker, Meciar could
- compromise. Now that he has the needed majority among Slovaks in
- the lower house of Parliament, he has no pretext to prevent any
- proposal that he opposes from failing. One could say that Meciar
- has "won against his will."
- </p>
- <p> His movement's platform opposed most of what the Civic
- Democratic Party, which won in the Czech lands, and its leader,
- former Minister of Finance Vaclav Klaus, stand for: a federal
- government with the authority to run a unified economy and
- uncompromising economic reform true to the principles of U.S.
- economist Milton Friedman. Meciar had pledged to proclaim
- Slovak sovereignty and to approve a separate Slovak
- constitution.
- </p>
- <p> But what the Czechs call the "money pipeline"--some $500
- million a year to Slovakia--will continue to be necessary to
- postpone the economic blows that Slovakia will suffer after
- proclaiming independence [now scheduled for January 1, 1993],
- and Meciar knows it. Independent Slovakia can expect growing
- unemployment, higher inflation, and devaluation of the local
- currency. The party that will run Slovakia will have to absorb
- the fury and bitterness of the people and will no longer be
- able to put all the blame on "wicked Prague."
- </p>
- <p> Other trouble is also brewing. Parts of Meciar's movement
- and its nationalist allies demand that relations with the
- Hungarian minority (about 11 percent of the population) should
- cool considerably, while the Hungarians have already announced
- that they will demand territorial autonomy in independent
- Slovakia. Moreover, independent Slovakia will be much more
- vulnerable that Czechoslovakia in the expected confrontation
- with Hungary if the Slovaks implement their plan to divert the
- Danube. But if Meciar scraps the plan to divert the Danube, he
- will run into a conflict with his nationalist allies.
- </p>
- <p> This is the reason for Meciar's proposal to his Czech
- interlocutors to maintain a kind of "economic defense
- partnership." This is much too transparent. The Czechs
- understand that his intentions to force them to continue "an
- economic and defense umbrella" without any restriction on the
- Slovaks. [An economic union is being negotiated.]
- </p>
- <p> If it is to be farewell, then let it be a sharp and quick
- farewell. Separate budgets for the two independent states will
- be prepared for 1993. The economic and defense partnership will
- continue only as part of the "dissolving federation." The
- curtain is coming down on Czechoslovakia.
- </p>
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
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